Who really has control of Syria?
There are so many factions in
Syria, it is currently impossible to determine who really has control of Syria.
What follows are the various factions.
Bashar al-Assad
He was born on the 11th of
September 1965 (currently 50) and he is the President of Syria, commander-in-chief of the Syrian Armed Forces, General Secretary of the ruling Ba'ath Party and the Regional Secretary of the party's
branch in Syria. He inherited the presidency
from his late father. His presidency was confirmed by the Syrian electorate twice
in 2000 and 2007 in referendums that did not include any opposing candidate. The
form of government Assad presides over has been designated as an authoritarian regime by political scientists. In plainer words, he is a
cruel dictator.
At first, he was seen by the
domestic and international community as a potential reformer however Assad disappointed
those expectations definitively when he ordered mass crackdowns and military
sieges on Arab Spring protesters that subsequently led
to the Syrian Civil War.
During the Syrian Civil War, an
inquiry by the United Nations human rights chief found evidence to implicate Assad in war crimes and crimes against humanity. Assad was included in
a list of 20 sample war crimes indictments of government officials and rebels
handed to the International Criminal Court. If he leaves Syria for any
reason whatsoever, he will be arrested and turned over to the Tribunal for
trial in The Hague. The FBI has said that at least 10 European citizens were tortured by
the Assad regime while detained during the Syrian Civil War, potentially
leaving Assad open to prosecution by individual European countries for war
crimes committed under his rule. He has also ordered the use of barrel bombs
and poisonous gas against his people and many of his people including children
have been tortured. He is responsible for as many as a quarter of a million
deaths of his own people.
Currently, the only area of Syria
he has complete control of is the capital of Syria—Damascus that has a
population of about 1, 700,oo0. The city of Damascus comprises of an area that
encompasses 105
square kilometres (41 square miles). It is
safe to say that other than Damascus, he really doesn’t rule Syria especially
since he is at war with the rest of Syria.
The Iranians
As Syria's war nears the start of
its fourth year, Iran has stepped up support on the ground for President Bashar
al-Assad, providing elite teams to gather intelligence and train Assad’s
troops.
The Russians
Russia intervened in the civil war
in Syria after a formal request from the Syrian government. On the 30th of September 2015, Russia started
military intervention in the Syrian Civil War, consisting of air strikes primarily in north-western Syria
by Russia against militant groups opposed to the Syrian government. They are also bombing ISIS forces. The Russian Air Force had significant ground support
from the Syrian military and the Iranian
Revolutionary Guards. Their objective is to help the Syrian government retake
territory from various opposition groups, including groups backed and armed by
the United States.
Free Syrian Army (FSA)
This is a group of Syrian Armed Forces officers and soldiers who defected
during the Syrian Civil War on the 29th of July
2011. Its goal is to bring down Assad’s
regime. Its
leader is Brigadier
General Abdul-Ilah al-Bashir (Chief of Staff
from the 16th of February 2014–present) As of 2015, the army
comprises of somewhere between 45,000 and 60,000 soldiers.
On the 23rd of
September 2011, the Free Syrian Army merged with the Free Officers Movement.
The following forces are also part of the Free Syrian Army—Southern Front, Division 13, Fursan Haqq brigade, 1st Coastal Division, Syria Revolutionaries Front, Jarabulus
Brigade, Al-Qassas Army, Dawn of Freedom Brigades, Liwa Thuwwar al-Raqqa, The Revolutionary Army. 90% of the FSA consists of Sunni Muslims. About 15% of FSA units are Kurds. As for further ethnic minorities,
a Palestinian rebel commander in the Yarmouk enclave in southern Damascus in 2012 considered
his rebel brigade to be part of FSA.
At the outset of the civil war,
the FSA operated throughout Syria, both in urban areas and in the countryside. It also operated in the northwest (Idlib, Aleppo), the central region (Homs, Hama, Al-Rastan), the coast around Latakia, the south (Daraa and Houran), the east (Dayr al-Zawr, Abu Kamal), and the area surrounding Damascus , with their largest concentration
of forces, nine battalions or more, in Homs, Hama and surrounding areas. By November 2014, a growing coalition
of 58 US-backed groups, the Southern Front of
the Free Syrian Army, was gaining territory south of Damascus in southern Syria. While
the Southern Front of
the Free Syrian Army increased its territorial control
in both Daraa and Quneitra governorates in 2015, the FSA brigades in northern Syria
supported the Army of Conquest-led offensive that took control of almost all of Idlib governorate, as well as aided the YPG in their approach from
the east and west against ISIL-controlled Tell Abyad. The FSA is not only
fighting Assad’s forces, they are also fighting ISIS.
Peshmerga (Kurdish)
The Peshmerga (he official security forces of Iraq's autonomous Kurdish
region) are
foot soldiers who are facing off with the ISIS extremists on a 600-mile long
frontline in the Sinjar province. They have the best track record of defeating
the militants, but they are massively out-gunned by ISIS. The Kurdish forces
say they've clawed back 1,500 square miles of territory from ISIS since
December, 2014 and they've done nearly all their fighting relying on
small-caliber weapons.
The reason the U.S. has been reluctant to directly equip the
Peshmerga is that the Kurdish people want independence. Helping them angers both
the Iraqi Turkish governments, where in Turkey, there's a large Kurdish
population. The Turks have been
fighting with the Kurds for a lo g time.
In November 2014, Iraqi Kurdish Peshmerga forces arrived in
the Syrian border town of Kobani to help Syrian Kurds battle the ISIS forces.
The Hezbollah
Since the beginning of 2013, Hezbollah fighters
from Lebanon have operated openly and in significant numbers in Syria alongside
their Syrian and Iraqi counterparts. They have enabled the Assad regime to
regain some control of rebel-held areas in central Syria and have improved the
effectiveness of pro-regime forces. The impact of Hezbollah’s involvement in
Syria has been felt on the battlefield where the regime now has the same
momentum in many areas outside of Damascus. The leader of Lebanon's Hezbollah said in 2015 that his
group is engaged in an existential battle against ISIS across all of Syria.
ISIS (Islamic State of Iraq and Syria )
There is no Islamic State. The areas in which ISIS claims as
their own, are where thousands of the world's losers have collected and put
rags on their heads and who are helping the leaders of ISIS create an Islamic caliphate.
At first, they fought the Iraqis in Iraq but later they moved their forces into
Syria. As of March 2015, it had control
over territory occupied by 10 million people in Iraq and Syria.
Kurdish forces seized a military base
from ISIS fighters just 30 miles from the self-declared
caliphate's capital city in Syria in November 2015.
In Conclusion
I believe that with the help from the Americans, Russians and other
countries, ISIS forces in Syria will be eradicated. What isn’t known is who is
going to finally rule Syria? The Russians and the Iranians want Assad to remain
as the president of Syria. Everyone else wants him out of Syria and facing
charges as a war criminal.
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